Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.000115 0.000126 0.000138 0.000152 0.000167 0.000184 0.000203
2025-11-30 0.000094 0.000110 0.000130 0.000154 0.000183 0.000217 0.000260
2025-12-07 0.000081 0.000101 0.000125 0.000157 0.000197 0.000249 0.000318
2025-12-14 0.000070 0.000091 0.000117 0.000154 0.000203 0.000268 0.000362
2025-12-21 0.000061 0.000082 0.000109 0.000148 0.000203 0.000280 0.000396
2025-12-28 0.000056 0.000077 0.000106 0.000149 0.000212 0.000303 0.000448
2026-01-04 0.000052 0.000073 0.000103 0.000150 0.000221 0.000327 0.000504
2026-01-11 0.000047 0.000068 0.000099 0.000148 0.000224 0.000343 0.000549
2026-01-18 0.000044 0.000065 0.000097 0.000148 0.000232 0.000366 0.000607
2026-01-25 0.000041 0.000062 0.000093 0.000146 0.000234 0.000381 0.000654
2026-02-01 0.000038 0.000059 0.000091 0.000146 0.000240 0.000402 0.000712
2026-02-08 0.000036 0.000056 0.000088 0.000144 0.000242 0.000415 0.000759
2026-02-15 0.000033 0.000052 0.000084 0.000140 0.000241 0.000425 0.000802
2026-02-22 0.000031 0.000051 0.000083 0.000142 0.000251 0.000456 0.000892
2026-03-01 0.000030 0.000050 0.000083 0.000145 0.000263 0.000492 0.000997
2026-03-08 0.000028 0.000047 0.000079 0.000142 0.000264 0.000506 0.001059
2026-03-15 0.000026 0.000044 0.000075 0.000137 0.000260 0.000510 0.001096
2026-03-22 0.000024 0.000042 0.000074 0.000137 0.000267 0.000538 0.001194
2026-03-29 0.000023 0.000041 0.000073 0.000138 0.000275 0.000569 0.001304
2026-04-05 0.000022 0.000039 0.000071 0.000136 0.000277 0.000585 0.001382
2026-04-12 0.000021 0.000038 0.000070 0.000137 0.000284 0.000615 0.001498
2026-04-19 0.000020 0.000037 0.000068 0.000135 0.000285 0.000631 0.001581
2026-04-26 0.000019 0.000035 0.000067 0.000135 0.000290 0.000658 0.001697